Globalization Meets Automation: How Trade and Technological Shocks Reshape Radical Right Support in Europe
Accepted for oral presentation, 28th IPSA World Congress, Seoul
This paper combines cross-national election surveys with regional measures of China-shock trade exposure and automation exposure to estimate the joint impact of trade and technological shocks on radical-right support across European regions. Using a region-by-individual modeling strategy, I show that the political effects of globalization and automation are neither independent nor additive: they interact with local labor-market structure to reshape who turns toward the radical right and along which dimensions of grievance. The paper contributes a unified empirical framework for thinking about how the twin shocks of the past two decades have rewritten Europe's political map.